Growing prospect of rate cuts in Europe and the US likely to boost demand
A pump jack drills crude oil from the Yates Oilfield in West Texas’s Permian Basin, near Iraan, Texas. — Reuters
Oil prices fell more than one per cent on Thursday as concerns eased about shipping disruptions along the Red Sea route, even as tensions in the Middle East continue to fester.
Front month February Brent crude futures were down $1.02, about 1.3 per cent, at $78.63 a barrel by 1443 GMT in subdued trade ahead of their imminent expiry, while the more active March contract was down 92 cents, about 1.2 per cent, at $78.62 a barrel.
US WTI crude futures were trading 82 cents, or about 1.1 per cent, lower at $73.29 a barrel. Oil prices dropped nearly 2 per cent on Wednesday as major shipping firms began returning to the Red Sea.
Denmark’s Maersk will route almost all container vessels sailing between Asia and Europe through the Suez Canal from now on while diverting only a handful around Africa, a Reuters breakdown of the group’s schedule showed on Thursday.
Major shipping companies, including container giants Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd, stopped using Red Sea routes and the Suez Canal earlier this month after Yemen’s Houthis began targeting vessels, disrupting global trade.
However, a US-led coalition to quell tensions in the Red Sea has not so far yielded coordinated action as hoped.
A week after the launch of the maritime force, many allies do not want to be associated with it, partly reflecting the fissures created by the conflict in Gaza, which has seen the US maintain firm support for Israel even as international criticism rises over its offensive.
Data from the American Petroleum Institute industry group on Wednesday showed crude stocks rose 1.84 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 22, against estimates from seven analysts polled by Reuters for a drop of 2.7 million barrels.
Meanwhile, the growing prospect of interest rate cuts in Europe and the US in 2024 are positive from an oil demand perspective.
“The market is likely to try the upside again ... maybe in the early new year, also on expectations of a recovery in fuel demand thanks to monetary easing in the United States and higher kerosene demand during the winter in the northern hemisphere,” said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a unit of Nissan Securities.