UAE's daily Covid cases dip below 130: Has the pandemic become endemic?

Abu Dhabi - The country is close to achieving herd immunity, medical experts have said

The Covid-19 pandemic in the UAE is now becoming ‘endemic’ and the country is close to achieving herd immunity, medical experts have said.

On Monday, the health authorities reported 124 fresh cases after conducting 276,637 PCR tests, recording a positivity rate of 0.44. More than 20.5 million vaccine doses have been administered so far, with 95 per cent of the eligible population receiving at least one shot.

Comparatively, when the vaccination drive was in its nascent stage, on January 28, a total of 3,966 positive cases were detected from 168,781 PCR tests, a positivity rate of 2.34.

As a result of massive vaccination and screening drives, the positivity rate has been dropping rapidly. And doctors underlined that communities are now seeing low levels of transmission. The number of fresh cases has been below 400 since September 19.

“A disease is considered endemic when it remains constantly maintained at a baseline level and is predictable and manageable in the community,” said Dr Sangeeta Sharma, medical director of Al Ahalia Hospital, Abu Dhabi.

Dr Rajesh Kumar Gupta, internal medicine specialist at Burjeel Specialty Hospital, Sharjah, noted: “More than 85 per cent of the eligible population is fully vaccinated. We have seen a drastic fall in the number of new cases, which suggests that the level of transmission is low. We will soon see the daily caseloads drop to below 100. All of this suggests that the UAE is in a stage of endemicity.”

The last time the number of new cases was less than 100 was in March 2020, during the initial outbreak of Covid in the UAE.

“If the numbers hold true, we can say that the country is reaching a stage of endemicity. The numbers are coming down significantly,” said Dr Jimmy Joseph, internal medicine specialist at Aster Speciality Medical Centre, Dubai International City.

Doctors pointed out that with a highly successful vaccination drive, the UAE is inching towards herd immunity. The authorities have already relaxed restrictions on gatherings, travel, among others.

Dr Joseph said: “Studies have shown that vaccination has been able to reduce the severity of infections significantly. Sooner or later, we will reach herd immunity.”

Dr J.M. Gauer, CEO of RAK Hospital, underlined that the strict precautionary measures and robust campaigns are now showing positive results.

“We have to keep in mind that the virus is still out there. We seem to be on the safe side in the UAE; however, on a global scale, mutations are still happening. Constant vigilance, including re-administration and adaptation of vaccines, will remain at the top of the agenda. Covid is here to stay. We will have to live with it at least in the foreseeable future,” Dr Gauer added.