Will a mega tsunami happen again?

Although many of the world's biggest cities are located close to an ocean, scientists still have a hard time predicting when and where tsunamis will hit.

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By Story Hinckley

Published: Wed 7 Oct 2015, 12:00 AM

Last updated: Wed 7 Oct 2015, 1:01 PM

Waves the size of the Chrysler building may seem like they belong in a movie trailer, but scientists have recently found that megatsunamis are all too real.
Scientists say that 73,000 years ago, a large flank (or slope) from the volcanic island Fogo in the Cape Verde islands off the coast of Africa fell into the ocean and triggered a tsunami that could - quite literally - move mountains.
"You're displacing a huge mass, which must generate movement of water," Ricardo Ramalho, the lead researcher behind the study, told The Washington Post. "And in the case of volcanic flank collapses they can be very acute, because you have all the mass collapsing basically into the oceans."
Scientists knew Fogo experienced a collapse thousands of years ago because a nearby seafloor shows evidence of a huge rock avalanche. They also already expected that this avalanche caused a tsunami 30 miles away on the island of Santiago, but there has been disagreement over just how big it was. Until now, scientists assumed the collapse happened in stages instead of all at once, only triggering several smaller tsunamis. A recent study of the Fogo collapse in 2011 by French scientists suggests that there were multiple waves, registering only 45 feet in height.
So what was Dr. Ramalho's proof for a megatsunami? Rocks. Really, really big rocks.
By studying the unique isotopes on rock surfaces, the scientists were able to date the 700-ton rocks back to the same time in history as Fogo's volcanic collapse. Fossils scattered thousands of feet above sea level also act as proof for one, massive wave, suggesting the megatsunami left marine animals on the high plateau.
So can we expect another prehistoric catastrophe any time soon? In their study published in the journal Science Advances, the authors cite precaution as a main reason for their work. The scientists suggest their findings "further demonstrate that flank collapses may indeed catastrophically happen and are capable of triggering tsunamis of enormous height and energy, adding to their hazard potential."
This recent theory is questioned by other scientists in the field, who doubt that our big volcanoes today could collapse suddenly. "Rather, they envision landslides coming in gradual stages, generating multiple, smaller tsunamis," the Earth Institute at Columbia University said in a press release.
But either way, it's hard to prepare for a tsunami, big or small. Although many of the world's biggest cities are located close to an ocean, scientists still have a hard time predicting when and where tsunamis will hit.
Christian Science Monitor

Story Hinckley

Published: Wed 7 Oct 2015, 12:00 AM

Last updated: Wed 7 Oct 2015, 1:01 PM

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