Leaders hope to kick-start Syria talks despite Aleppo onslaught

Syrian families line-up waiting to go back to Syria, at the Turkish Oncupinar border gate near Kilis, southern-central Turkey.

Munich, Germany - Tens of thousands of Syrians are stranded on the Turkish border north of Aleppo, where observers say 500 people have been killed since the bombing started on February 1.

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By AFP

Published: Thu 11 Feb 2016, 1:39 PM

Last updated: Thu 11 Feb 2016, 3:44 PM

Foreign ministers were gathering in Munich on Thursday, with the West desperate to breathe new life into a Syrian peace process that has all but collapsed in the face of a Russian-backed onslaught against the opposition.
Russian bombers and Iranian troops have helped the forces of President Bashar Al Assad besiege the key rebel city of Aleppo in the past fortnight, derailing peace talks in Geneva and threatening Europe with another huge influx of refugees.
Tens of thousands of Syrians are stranded on the Turkish border north of Aleppo, where observers say 500 people have been killed since the bombing started on February 1.
In Munich, US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov will host foreign ministers from the 17-nation Syria contact group, in a meeting billed as a moment of truth for the floundering peace process.
Washington wants a ceasefire and humanitarian access to besieged rebel cities but has threatened an unspecified "Plan B" if talks fail, as tension mounts with Moscow over its air campaign.
"There is no question... that Russia's activities in Aleppo and in the region right now are making it much more difficult to be able to come to the table and to be able to have a serious conversation," Kerry said this week. Daesh Brett McGurk, said Russia's bombing campaign was "directly enabling" the militants.
The rebels say they will not return to talks in Geneva, pencilled in for February 25, unless government sieges and air strikes end.
Analysts see little hope of reconciling the fundamental differences.
Syria is a crucial ally and military staging post for Russia and Iran, while a growing number of observers have pointed out that Moscow has benefited from the chaos created by the war, particularly the refugee crisis in Europe.
"For Russia, the war in Syria is about much more than Assad," Koert Debeuf, a research fellow at the University of Oxford, told the Carnegie Europe think tank.
"The goal of Russian President Vladimir Putin is to destabilise and weaken the West. He wants to end the EU's and NATO's attractiveness to countries he considers part of the Russian sphere of influence."
 "The idea of a full reconquest... seems neither credible nor durable. It will simply turn into a terrorist or guerrilla situation," said Camille Grand, of the Foundation for Strategic Research in Paris.
Many have also criticised the US for not doing more to support the rebels.
Even outgoing French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius could not hide his frustration as he announced his resignation on Wednesday, saying: "You don't get the feeling that there is a very strong commitment" by the US in Syria.
Joseph Bahout, a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Foundation in Washington, said the US has "no credibility" left after two years of failed negotiations.
"Nothing is expected from the Americans... they say one thing in public and another in private," he told AFP. "In Munich, they want to agree a ceasefire that will not be put in place because the Russians will continue to bomb the 'terrorists'."

AFP

Published: Thu 11 Feb 2016, 1:39 PM

Last updated: Thu 11 Feb 2016, 3:44 PM

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